Liar, Liar, AI's House Is On Fire
My strong belief is that the next GPT release will be underwhelming, just as Claude 4 was only an incremental improvement over Claude 3.7. Then what? The scaling laws hit a point of diminishing returns last year. Superintelligence is not around the corner despite what Sam, Dario, Ilya and Elon say - they are more than talking their book, they are lying. What then happens to the valuations for MSFT, PLTR, META and every other company (public and private), that has lived off of this lie? Down, down, down. Don’t say I did not warn you. If you don’t believe me - take the fucking models for a test drive.